Paper

Deserved to win

TBL 39%61% NSH

TBL 2.85 xG on 44 attempts, NSH 3.54 xG on 46, empty nets left out. How it works →

9%TBL 3+
9%TBL 2
13%TBL 1
16%Tied
17%NSH 1
14%NSH 2
22%NSH 3+
Replayed: final margins. Dark bar = actual result.

Scoring

Every goal, all situations, with the score after it (away–home).

  1. Period 1

    1. 11:14NSHReid Schaefer (1)Alexander Kerfoot, Nick Perbix0–1
    2. 13:38TBLJohn Carlson (1)Nikita Kucherov, Charle-Edouard D'Astous1–1
  2. Period 2

    1. 0:18TBLJake Guentzel (1)John Carlson, Nikita Kucherov2–1
    2. 0:45NSHAdam Edstrom (1)Brady Skjei, Nick Perbix2–2
    3. 3:23TBLVictor Hedman (1)Nikita Kucherov, Brayden Point3–2
    4. 19:42NSHJayden Struble (1)Adam Wilsby, Filip Forsberg3–3
  3. Period 3

    1. 3:31TBLConor Geekie (1)Jeffrey Viel4–3
    2. 7:27NSHSteven Stamkos (1)PPFilip Forsberg, Ryan O'Reilly4–4

Decided in a shootout: its deciding goal is in the final score only.

Goalies

Saves on shots on goal (the NHL's boxscore), all situations; GSAx is expected goals against minus goals against on unblocked attempts while he was in.

Teams

TeamTOICF%GF%xGF%xGFxGASh%Sv%PDO
6545.250.044.62.853.5415.487.9103.3
6554.850.055.43.542.8512.184.696.7

Flow

Unblocked attempts, running total · TBL 44, NSH 46

TBLNSH goal

Shots

Brayden Point, P1 9:15, snap, on goal, 0.20 xGFilip Forsberg, P3 14:47, wrist, on goal, 0.18 xGSteven Stamkos, OT 1:17, wrist, on goal, 0.18 xGJohn Carlson, P2 12:59, wrist, on goal, 0.18 xGSteven Stamkos, P1 12:36, snap, on goal, 0.18 xGNils Hoglander, P1 14:49, snap, missed, 0.15 xGSteven Stamkos, P3 11:32, slap, missed, 0.15 xGBrayden Point, P3 17:44, tip-in, on goal, 0.15 xGJ.J. Moser, OT 4:21, backhand, on goal, 0.15 xGMavrik Bourque, P3 4:38, poke, missed, 0.15 xGJohn Carlson, P2 12:57, wrist, on goal, 0.14 xGJake Guentzel, P3 18:31, wrist, on goal, 0.13 xGRoss Colton, P1 8:19, tip-in, missed, 0.13 xGNick Perbix, P3 4:36, backhand, on goal, 0.13 xGAdam Edstrom, P3 14:04, bat, on goal, 0.13 xGSteven Stamkos, OT 0:59, tip-in, on goal, 0.13 xGBrandon Hagel, P3 11:12, wrist, on goal, 0.13 xGSteven Stamkos, P3 7:24, wrist, on goal, 0.12 xGJonathan Marchessault, P3 14:10, snap, on goal, 0.12 xGMavrik Bourque, P2 5:42, wrist, on goal, 0.12 xGRoman Josi, OT 2:16, wrist, on goal, 0.12 xGFilip Forsberg, P2 6:42, snap, on goal, 0.11 xGAnthony Cirelli, P1 13:10, tip-in, missed, 0.11 xGPontus Holmberg, P3 14:36, backhand, missed, 0.10 xGJonathan Marchessault, P3 14:45, wrist, on goal, 0.09 xGBrandon Hagel, P3 6:19, tip-in, missed, 0.09 xGBrayden Point, OT 1:37, tip-in, on goal, 0.09 xGJayden Struble, P1 15:41, wrist, missed, 0.09 xGNikita Kucherov, P1 3:59, tip-in, missed, 0.08 xGMatthew Wood, P2 7:22, wrist, missed, 0.08 xGRoss Colton, P2 18:19, tip-in, missed, 0.08 xGJohn Carlson, P2 12:56, tip-in, on goal, 0.07 xGJohn Carlson, P2 13:00, backhand, on goal, 0.07 xGRoman Josi, P3 13:58, snap, on goal, 0.07 xGBrayden Point, P1 5:47, tip-in, missed, 0.07 xGBrandon Hagel, P1 4:42, tip-in, on goal, 0.07 xGRoman Josi, P1 6:42, slap, on goal, 0.06 xGJake Guentzel, P2 2:43, snap, missed, 0.06 xGDominic James, OT 3:20, wrist, on goal, 0.06 xGReid Schaefer, P1 2:38, tip-in, missed, 0.06 xGRoss Colton, P1 11:57, wrist, missed, 0.05 xGJonathan Marchessault, P3 11:49, wrist, on goal, 0.05 xGRoman Josi, P1 19:39, wrist, missed, 0.05 xGNikita Kucherov, P3 18:37, slap, on goal, 0.05 xGJake Guentzel, P2 6:06, tip-in, on goal, 0.05 xGReid Schaefer, P1 15:22, snap, on goal, 0.05 xGJonathan Marchessault, P2 11:25, wrist, on goal, 0.05 xGRoss Colton, P3 16:48, wrist, on goal, 0.05 xGJeffrey Viel, P1 11:24, tip-in, missed, 0.05 xGVictor Hedman, P3 12:44, snap, on goal, 0.04 xGScott Sabourin, P1 1:24, tip-in, missed, 0.04 xGMax Crozier, P1 2:19, wrist, on goal, 0.01 xGMatthew Wood, P1 2:42, wrap-around, on goal, 0.03 xGPontus Holmberg, P1 4:37, wrist, on goal, 0.03 xGMax Crozier, P1 4:49, slap, missed, 0.03 xGJack Drury, P1 9:23, wrist, on goal, 0.01 xGPontus Holmberg, P1 11:01, snap, missed, 0.02 xGSteven Stamkos, P1 12:32, snap, missed, 0.01 xGSteven Stamkos, P1 12:44, slap, on goal, 0.02 xGMax Crozier, P1 13:26, wrist, on goal, 0.02 xGRoman Josi, P1 19:58, wrist, missed, 0.01 xGBrady Skjei, P2 0:26, slap, missed, 0.01 xGNick Perbix, P2 0:28, slap, on goal, 0.03 xGIlya Mikheyev, P2 1:22, wrist, on goal, 0.00 xGJ.J. Moser, P2 2:47, wrist, missed, 0.02 xGJ.J. Moser, P2 2:53, slap, on goal, 0.02 xGDaemon Hunt, P2 3:52, snap, on goal, 0.01 xGRoman Josi, P2 4:40, slap, on goal, 0.02 xGAdam Wilsby, P2 4:44, slap, on goal, 0.03 xGMax Crozier, P2 7:09, slap, missed, 0.04 xGNikita Kucherov, P2 9:01, slap, missed, 0.01 xGConor Geekie, P2 11:45, wrist, missed, 0.01 xGGage Goncalves, P2 15:46, wrist, on goal, 0.01 xGAdam Wilsby, P2 16:29, wrist, on goal, 0.02 xGRyan McDonagh, P3 3:47, snap, missed, 0.03 xGJeffrey Viel, P3 3:55, wrist, missed, 0.01 xGBrandon Hagel, P3 6:29, wrist, on goal, 0.02 xGRoman Josi, P3 8:56, slap, on goal, 0.02 xGAnthony Cirelli, P3 9:19, snap, missed, 0.03 xGVictor Hedman, P3 10:32, slap, missed, 0.02 xGAdam Wilsby, P3 14:03, wrist, on goal, 0.01 xGRoss Colton, P3 16:38, backhand, on goal, 0.01 xGAdam Edstrom, P2 0:45, snap, goal, 0.19 xGConor Geekie, P3 3:31, wrist, goal, 0.15 xGVictor Hedman, P2 3:23, wrist, goal, 0.12 xGReid Schaefer, P1 11:14, wrist, goal, 0.07 xGSteven Stamkos, P3 7:27, wrist, goal, 0.07 xGJake Guentzel, P2 0:18, tip-in, goal, 0.06 xGJayden Struble, P2 19:42, wrist, goal, 0.04 xGJohn Carlson, P1 13:38, wrist, goal, 0.01 xG
End
TBL ← 4 G · 26 SOG · 44 unblocked · 2.85 xG goal on goal miss46 unblocked · 33 SOG · 4 G · 3.54 xG → NSH
Area = xG:0.050.200.50smallest ≤ 0.04

Tampa Bay Lightning skaters

PlayerTOICF%GF%xGF%xGFxGASh%Sv%PDO
2651.0100.065.91.660.8621.4100.0121.4
2550.9100.062.61.530.9214.3100.0114.3
2454.3100.072.51.510.5723.1100.0123.1
2354.0100.070.21.750.7420.0100.0120.0
2244.033.337.30.831.4016.783.3100.0
2047.90.044.81.041.280.066.766.7
1942.9100.060.21.010.6720.0100.0120.0
1940.533.331.60.531.1450.080.0130.0
1942.90.033.60.621.220.066.766.7
1840.033.330.30.541.2416.784.6101.3
1744.733.332.90.641.2912.581.894.3
1532.50.021.80.431.530.084.684.6
1423.5–15.00.170.970.0100.0100.0
1357.10.037.00.150.260.066.766.7
1226.7–16.90.170.840.0100.0100.0
1050.0100.041.80.320.4550.0100.0150.0
947.8100.040.90.310.45100.0100.0200.0
850.0100.040.90.310.45100.0100.0200.0

Nashville Predators skaters

PlayerTOICF%GF%xGF%xGFxGASh%Sv%PDO
2863.550.061.41.440.916.388.995.1
2271.250.060.20.900.607.180.087.1
2151.250.054.21.110.9411.190.9102.0
2043.250.050.91.121.0828.680.0108.6
1959.0100.066.71.150.5711.1100.0111.1
1953.850.041.90.761.0510.087.597.5
1855.633.360.01.260.849.171.480.5
1841.950.044.90.941.1625.077.8102.8
1844.750.053.40.990.8611.187.598.6
1751.250.040.00.761.1310.090.9100.9
1660.533.361.01.410.909.175.084.1
1640.60.051.20.660.630.083.383.3
1560.066.765.91.220.6316.766.783.3
1451.70.058.50.810.570.060.060.0
1460.550.057.50.880.6511.183.394.4
1360.050.067.50.510.2433.366.7100.0
1258.3100.058.40.560.4028.6100.0128.6
1047.1100.069.60.380.1733.3100.0133.3