Paper

Sun, Oct 25, 2026

Avalanche 2 Predators 6

Deserved to win

COL 29%71% NSH

COL 2.08 xG on 35 attempts, NSH 3.33 xG on 48, empty nets left out. How it works →

4%COL 3+
6%COL 2
11%COL 1
16%Tied
18%NSH 1
17%NSH 2
28%NSH 3+
Replayed: final margins. Dark bar = actual result.

Scoring

Every goal, all situations, with the score after it (away–home).

  1. Period 1

    1. 4:01NSHFilip Forsberg (1)PPRoman Josi, Steven Stamkos0–1
    2. 10:48NSHSteven Stamkos (1)Ryan O'Reilly, Mavrik Bourque0–2

  2. Period 2

    1. 6:38NSHRyan O'Reilly (1)PPRoman Josi, Filip Forsberg0–3
    2. 16:36NSHJack Drury (1)Ross Colton, Brady Skjei0–4
    3. 17:29NSHRyan O'Reilly (2)PPJonathan Marchessault, Filip Forsberg0–5
    4. 17:55COLArtturi Lehkonen (1)Martin Necas, Nathan MacKinnon1–5

  3. Period 3

    1. 2:43COLDevon Toews (1)Sam Malinski, Martin Necas2–5
    2. 10:24NSHSteven Stamkos (2)PPRyan O'Reilly, Roman Josi2–6

Goalies

Saves on shots on goal (the NHL's boxscore), all situations; GSAx is expected goals against minus goals against on unblocked attempts while he was in.

Teams

TeamTOICF%GF%xGF%xGFxGASh%Sv%PDO
COL
6042.525.038.52.083.339.582.992.4
NSH
6057.575.061.53.332.0817.190.5107.6

Flow

Unblocked attempts, running total · COL 35, NSH 48

COLNSH goal

Shots

Brock Nelson, P2 19:45, wrist, missed, 0.21 xGJonathan Marchessault, P2 14:47, wrist, on goal, 0.20 xGArtturi Lehkonen, P1 14:28, wrist, on goal, 0.16 xGMatthew Wood, P2 2:15, wrist, on goal, 0.16 xGRyan O'Reilly, P3 10:16, wrist, on goal, 0.15 xGSteven Stamkos, P2 15:29, wrist, on goal, 0.15 xGNick Perbix, P2 2:36, backhand, on goal, 0.14 xGFilip Forsberg, P3 10:06, tip-in, missed, 0.14 xGArtturi Lehkonen, P1 14:11, wrist, on goal, 0.14 xGRyan O'Reilly, P3 3:44, wrist, on goal, 0.13 xGFedor Svechkov, P1 10:17, deflected, missed, 0.11 xGMatthew Wood, P1 2:00, wrist, on goal, 0.11 xGDaemon Hunt, P1 2:35, wrist, on goal, 0.11 xGAdam Edstrom, P3 12:40, wrist, missed, 0.10 xGJonathan Marchessault, P1 3:21, tip-in, on goal, 0.09 xGT.J. Hughes, P2 3:38, wrist, on goal, 0.09 xGNathan MacKinnon, P2 7:07, wrist, on goal, 0.09 xGArtturi Lehkonen, P1 11:06, wrist, on goal, 0.08 xGRoss Colton, P1 1:27, wrist, missed, 0.08 xGRoss Colton, P2 3:17, backhand, missed, 0.08 xGJaden Schwartz, P2 14:39, wrist, on goal, 0.08 xGFilip Forsberg, P1 3:53, snap, missed, 0.08 xGFilip Forsberg, P1 3:32, wrist, missed, 0.08 xGBrock Nelson, P3 13:23, wrist, missed, 0.08 xGT.J. Hughes, P2 10:25, tip-in, missed, 0.07 xGRoman Josi, P3 10:19, slap, on goal, 0.07 xGMartin Necas, P2 0:17, slap, missed, 0.07 xGRyan O'Reilly, P3 3:45, poke, on goal, 0.07 xGFilip Forsberg, P3 15:01, wrist, on goal, 0.07 xGBrett Kulak, P1 8:45, slap, on goal, 0.06 xGNazem Kadri, P2 1:42, wrist, on goal, 0.06 xGBrock Nelson, P3 19:35, wrist, on goal, 0.06 xGJosh Manson, P2 12:07, slap, missed, 0.05 xGSteven Stamkos, P3 4:12, slap, on goal, 0.05 xGAdam Wilsby, P1 16:41, wrist, on goal, 0.05 xGBrock Nelson, P1 18:53, deflected, missed, 0.05 xGRoss Colton, P2 14:46, wrist, on goal, 0.05 xGRoss Colton, P3 8:38, wrist, on goal, 0.05 xGArtturi Lehkonen, P1 14:20, wrist, on goal, 0.05 xGTaylor Makar, P2 19:50, wrap-around, on goal, 0.05 xGAdam Wilsby, P2 16:22, wrap-around, missed, 0.05 xGLogan O'Connor, P2 18:51, wrist, missed, 0.04 xGFilip Forsberg, P3 9:12, wrist, missed, 0.04 xGJaden Schwartz, P1 2:10, wrist, on goal, 0.01 xGNathan MacKinnon, P1 4:23, wrist, on goal, 0.04 xGNicolas Hague, P1 5:34, wrist, missed, 0.02 xGFilip Forsberg, P1 6:38, backhand, on goal, 0.00 xGDevon Toews, P1 8:14, slap, missed, 0.03 xGMatthew Wood, P1 9:58, wrist, on goal, 0.04 xGCale Makar, P1 11:47, wrist, missed, 0.03 xGRoman Josi, P1 13:33, wrist, on goal, 0.01 xGNazem Kadri, P1 15:12, wrist, on goal, 0.01 xGRoman Josi, P1 16:35, slap, missed, 0.02 xGAdam Wilsby, P1 17:03, wrist, on goal, 0.01 xGBrady Skjei, P1 19:53, wrist, on goal, 0.02 xGRoman Josi, P2 0:41, wrist, on goal, 0.02 xGNicolas Hague, P2 1:20, wrist, missed, 0.03 xGAlexander Kerfoot, P2 3:14, backhand, missed, 0.02 xGMartin Necas, P2 5:12, slap, missed, 0.04 xGT.J. Hughes, P2 6:51, wrist, missed, 0.01 xGBrent Burns, P2 9:58, wrist, on goal, 0.01 xGNicolas Hague, P2 11:54, wrist, on goal, 0.01 xGRoman Josi, P2 15:16, slap, on goal, 0.04 xGMavrik Bourque, P2 15:50, wrist, on goal, 0.02 xGMavrik Bourque, P2 16:09, wrist, missed, 0.01 xGAlexander Kerfoot, P2 16:47, wrist, on goal, 0.01 xGCale Makar, P3 1:28, wrist, on goal, 0.02 xGBrady Skjei, P3 2:54, wrist, on goal, 0.04 xGParker Kelly, P3 7:15, wrist, missed, 0.02 xGNazem Kadri, P3 13:41, wrist, on goal, 0.03 xGJack Drury, P3 16:21, slap, on goal, 0.02 xGCale Makar, P3 17:45, backhand, missed, 0.04 xGDaemon Hunt, P3 18:33, slap, on goal, 0.02 xGLogan O'Connor, P3 18:59, wrist, on goal, 0.02 xGBrock Nelson, P3 19:55, slap, on goal, 0.03 xGJack Drury, P2 16:36, backhand, goal, 0.14 xGArtturi Lehkonen, P2 17:55, tip-in, goal, 0.13 xGRyan O'Reilly, P2 17:29, wrist, goal, 0.13 xGRyan O'Reilly, P2 6:38, backhand, goal, 0.12 xGFilip Forsberg, P1 4:01, snap, goal, 0.12 xGSteven Stamkos, P1 10:48, wrist, goal, 0.10 xGSteven Stamkos, P3 10:24, wrist, goal, 0.08 xGDevon Toews, P3 2:43, wrist, goal, 0.04 xG
End
COL ← 2 G · 21 SOG · 35 unblocked · 2.08 xG goal on goal miss48 unblocked · 35 SOG · 6 G · 3.32 xG → NSH
Area = xG:0.050.200.50smallest ≤ 0.04

Colorado Avalanche skaters

PlayerTOICF%GF%xGF%xGFxGASh%Sv%PDO
Cale Makar
D
2365.70.065.61.060.560.077.877.8
Brett Kulak
D
2326.10.024.30.491.520.082.482.4
Devon Toews
D
2054.533.349.20.870.9016.783.3100.0
Nathan MacKinnon
F
2065.750.070.71.030.4311.185.796.8
Sam Malinski
D
2023.850.021.60.431.5516.794.1110.8
Martin Necas
F
1955.966.762.30.880.5328.688.9117.5
Artturi Lehkonen
F
1947.433.348.60.971.0212.583.395.8
T.J. Hughes
F
1744.80.039.70.590.900.091.791.7
Nazem Kadri
F
1747.8–42.70.350.470.0100.0100.0
Brock Nelson
F
1741.750.041.90.550.7720.085.7105.7
Jaden Schwartz
F
1540.70.030.20.451.050.092.392.3
Gabriel Landeskog
F
1450.0–56.10.250.200.0100.0100.0
Josh Manson
D
1448.033.342.10.610.8314.366.781.0
Brent Burns
D
1350.050.042.40.620.8414.383.397.6
Parker Kelly
F
1335.00.021.00.170.640.083.383.3
Logan O'Connor
F
1223.80.013.40.161.020.057.157.1
Fedor Svechkov
F
1123.10.018.50.331.470.078.678.6
Taylor Makar
F
550.0–70.60.260.110.0100.0100.0

Nashville Predators skaters

PlayerTOICF%GF%xGF%xGFxGASh%Sv%PDO
Roman Josi
D
2163.871.462.21.931.1726.375.0101.3
Ryan O'Reilly
F
2159.5100.062.11.741.0629.4100.0129.4
Filip Forsberg
F
1972.7100.088.21.830.2425.0100.0125.0
Brady Skjei
D
1862.5100.066.90.700.3512.5100.0112.5
Steven Stamkos
F
1863.4100.062.51.751.0529.4100.0129.4
Nick Perbix
D
1868.4100.080.20.690.1712.5100.0112.5
Alexander Kerfoot
F
1740.70.044.00.530.680.085.785.7
Jonathan Marchessault
F
1767.6100.075.21.840.6125.0100.0125.0
Jack Drury
F
1757.150.058.00.560.4016.780.096.7
Nicolas Hague
D
1650.0–58.20.760.550.0100.0100.0
Adam Edstrom
F
1652.050.058.30.490.3525.075.0100.0
Adam Wilsby
D
1539.333.329.70.420.9914.375.089.3
Ross Colton
F
1562.950.069.01.030.4610.080.090.0
Jayden Struble
D
1542.3–43.50.320.420.0100.0100.0
Mavrik Bourque
F
1555.250.037.00.460.7810.087.597.5
Matthew Wood
F
1257.9–54.30.530.450.0100.0100.0
Nils Hoglander
F
1158.8–60.90.530.340.0100.0100.0
Daemon Hunt
D
1055.6–69.20.490.220.0100.0100.0