Paper

Fri, Oct 16, 2026

Penguins 2 Avalanche 5

Deserved to win

PIT 46%54% COL

PIT 3.55 xG on 50 attempts, COL 3.80 xG excl. empty net on 44, empty nets left out. How it works →

14%PIT 3+
11%PIT 2
14%PIT 1
16%Tied
15%COL 1
12%COL 2
18%COL 3+
Replayed: final margins. Dark bar = actual result.

Scoring

Every goal, all situations, with the score after it (away–home).

  1. Period 1

    1. 8:28PITEvgeni Malkin (1)Ville Koivunen, Erik Karlsson1–0
    2. 8:57PITBryan Rust (1)Sidney Crosby, Samuel Girard2–0
    3. 11:01COLArtturi Lehkonen (1)Nathan MacKinnon, Martin Necas2–1

  2. Period 2

    1. 0:25COLArtturi Lehkonen (2)Nathan MacKinnon, Martin Necas2–2
    2. 4:24COLGabriel Landeskog (1)Brock Nelson, Nazem Kadri2–3
    3. 14:57COLT.J. Hughes (1)Nathan MacKinnon, Cale Makar2–4

  3. Period 3

    1. 15:06COLNathan MacKinnon (1)PPCale Makar, Martin Necas2–5

Goalies

Saves on shots on goal (the NHL's boxscore), all situations; GSAx is expected goals against minus goals against on unblocked attempts while he was in.

Teams

TeamTOICF%GF%xGF%xGFxGASh%Sv%PDO
PIT
6051.228.641.53.555.016.384.490.6
COL
6048.871.458.55.013.5515.693.8109.4

Flow

Unblocked attempts, running total · PIT 50, COL 47

PITCOL goal

Shots

Brock Nelson, P3 15:45, wrist, missed, 0.42 xGArtturi Lehkonen, P3 17:10, wrist, missed, 0.40 xGArtturi Lehkonen, P3 16:42, wrist, missed, 0.39 xGNazem Kadri, P3 14:18, wrist, on goal, 0.24 xGRickard Rakell, P3 7:13, wrist, missed, 0.21 xGBen Kindel, P1 9:21, snap, on goal, 0.21 xGArtturi Lehkonen, P3 0:38, wrist, missed, 0.20 xGSamuel Girard, P1 11:38, snap, on goal, 0.20 xGAndrei Kuzmenko, P3 10:20, snap, on goal, 0.19 xGRickard Rakell, P2 11:07, deflected, on goal, 0.18 xGNathan MacKinnon, P3 4:06, snap, on goal, 0.17 xGRickard Rakell, P1 4:11, wrist, on goal, 0.16 xGNazem Kadri, P1 14:24, snap, on goal, 0.16 xGMartin Necas, P2 17:30, snap, on goal, 0.15 xGRickard Rakell, P1 4:13, wrist, on goal, 0.14 xGJaden Schwartz, P3 14:15, wrist, on goal, 0.14 xGNathan MacKinnon, P2 4:09, wrist, on goal, 0.14 xGArtturi Lehkonen, P3 0:37, wrist, on goal, 0.14 xGGabriel Landeskog, P2 4:12, wrist, missed, 0.13 xGT.J. Hughes, P3 14:07, wrist, on goal, 0.13 xGBryan Rust, P1 4:10, wrist, on goal, 0.13 xGBrock Nelson, P2 12:51, snap, on goal, 0.13 xGNazem Kadri, P2 4:21, wrist, on goal, 0.12 xGRickard Rakell, P2 4:59, backhand, on goal, 0.12 xGNazem Kadri, P1 3:48, snap, on goal, 0.10 xGNicholas Robertson, P1 1:49, backhand, on goal, 0.10 xGVille Koivunen, P1 16:51, tip-in, missed, 0.10 xGSidney Crosby, P2 5:21, snap, on goal, 0.10 xGRickard Rakell, P1 15:48, backhand, missed, 0.09 xGTommy Novak, P2 3:57, backhand, on goal, 0.09 xGNazem Kadri, P2 7:22, tip-in, missed, 0.09 xGDevon Toews, P2 1:00, wrist, on goal, 0.08 xGNathan MacKinnon, P2 0:22, wrist, on goal, 0.08 xGTommy Novak, P3 10:07, snap, on goal, 0.08 xGSidney Crosby, P2 5:11, bat, missed, 0.08 xGArtturi Lehkonen, P2 6:28, tip-in, missed, 0.08 xGCale Makar, P2 2:22, wrist, missed, 0.08 xGNathan MacKinnon, P1 15:24, wrist, on goal, 0.07 xGVille Koivunen, P2 3:46, wrist, on goal, 0.07 xGBen Kindel, P2 9:55, tip-in, missed, 0.07 xGEvgeni Malkin, P1 8:01, backhand, on goal, 0.07 xGSidney Crosby, P3 0:15, tip-in, on goal, 0.07 xGErik Karlsson, P3 15:36, wrist, on goal, 0.07 xGBen Kindel, P2 9:57, wrap-around, on goal, 0.07 xGTommy Novak, P2 11:24, tip-in, on goal, 0.07 xGBryan Rust, P1 0:32, snap, missed, 0.06 xGBryan Rust, P2 10:33, wrist, missed, 0.06 xGGavin Brindley, P3 12:59, wrist, on goal, 0.06 xGBlake Lizotte, P2 15:30, wrist, missed, 0.06 xGCale Makar, P3 3:53, wrist, missed, 0.06 xGCale Makar, P2 10:59, slap, on goal, 0.06 xGNathan MacKinnon, P2 17:08, wrist, on goal, 0.05 xGNathan MacKinnon, P2 1:07, backhand, on goal, 0.05 xGGavin Brindley, P2 10:19, tip-in, on goal, 0.05 xGTommy Novak, P3 10:19, wrist, on goal, 0.05 xGDevon Toews, P1 2:37, slap, missed, 0.04 xGCale Makar, P2 14:22, slap, missed, 0.04 xGDevon Toews, P1 0:24, wrist, missed, 0.01 xGNicholas Robertson, P1 1:55, snap, on goal, 0.01 xGNathan MacKinnon, P1 2:34, slap, on goal, 0.03 xGBrock Nelson, P1 3:40, bat, missed, 0.03 xGSamuel Girard, P1 5:46, wrist, missed, 0.02 xGKris Letang, P1 9:05, wrist, on goal, 0.01 xGSpencer Stastney, P1 9:32, slap, on goal, 0.02 xGDeclan Carlile, P1 10:16, wrist, on goal, 0.00 xGKris Letang, P1 12:34, wrist, missed, 0.03 xGKaedan Korczak, P1 14:42, slap, on goal, 0.02 xGErik Karlsson, P1 15:47, slap, missed, 0.02 xGSamuel Girard, P1 19:53, snap, missed, 0.02 xGFedor Svechkov, P2 2:35, snap, on goal, 0.01 xGJosh Manson, P2 3:20, slap, missed, 0.02 xGParker Kelly, P2 5:58, slap, on goal, 0.04 xGAndrei Kuzmenko, P2 6:07, wrist, on goal, 0.01 xGBrent Burns, P2 6:40, wrist, missed, 0.01 xGKris Letang, P2 8:36, wrist, missed, 0.03 xGSamuel Girard, P2 9:22, snap, on goal, 0.01 xGDeclan Carlile, P2 9:44, backhand, missed, 0.01 xGNathan MacKinnon, P2 10:00, wrist, on goal, 0.01 xGRickard Rakell, P2 10:32, wrist, on goal, 0.01 xGDevon Toews, P2 10:52, wrist, on goal, 0.02 xGBryan Rust, P2 11:06, backhand, missed, 0.02 xGCale Makar, P2 14:05, wrist, on goal, 0.03 xGErik Karlsson, P2 18:58, wrist, on goal, 0.01 xGNicholas Robertson, P3 1:33, wrist, on goal, 0.01 xGBlake Lizotte, P3 2:20, wrist, on goal, 0.03 xGBrett Kulak, P3 3:28, snap, on goal, 0.03 xGDeclan Carlile, P3 3:45, wrist, missed, 0.01 xGJosh Manson, P3 5:18, wrist, on goal, 0.01 xGConnor Dewar, P3 6:17, wrist, missed, 0.01 xGSidney Crosby, P3 12:40, wrist, missed, 0.01 xGBryan Rust, P1 8:57, snap, goal, 0.22 xGT.J. Hughes, P2 14:57, wrist, goal, 0.20 xGArtturi Lehkonen, P1 11:01, wrist, goal, 0.15 xGArtturi Lehkonen, P2 0:25, backhand, goal, 0.14 xGEvgeni Malkin, P1 8:28, wrist, goal, 0.13 xGGabriel Landeskog, P2 4:24, wrist, goal, 0.13 xGNathan MacKinnon, P3 15:06, slap, goal, 0.10 xG
End
PIT ← 2 G · 32 SOG · 50 unblocked · 3.55 xG goal on goal miss47 unblocked · 32 SOG · 5 G · 5.00 xG → COL
Area = xG:0.050.200.50smallest ≤ 0.04

Pittsburgh Penguins skaters

PlayerTOICF%GF%xGF%xGFxGASh%Sv%PDO
Erik Karlsson
D
2143.825.028.80.922.2711.183.394.4
Declan Carlile
D
2036.825.022.90.842.8311.186.497.5
Samuel Girard
D
2044.225.043.31.211.5910.062.572.5
Sidney Crosby
F
2057.850.053.61.791.5510.090.0100.0
Kaedan Korczak
D
2043.950.033.91.162.2711.188.9100.0
Kris Letang
D
1973.0–71.61.530.610.0100.0100.0
Rickard Rakell
F
1964.450.060.51.861.2210.088.998.9
Bryan Rust
F
1955.833.351.12.132.047.185.792.9
Evgeni Malkin
F
1742.950.023.80.642.0514.390.9105.2
Ville Koivunen
F
1646.950.033.21.062.1410.088.998.9
Spencer Stastney
D
1580.0–77.81.110.320.0100.0100.0
Tommy Novak
F
1553.650.035.50.961.7510.085.795.7
Ben Kindel
F
1550.00.024.80.511.530.077.877.8
Blake Lizotte
F
1434.50.012.30.181.280.075.075.0
Connor Dewar
F
1237.50.016.80.100.500.050.050.0
Andrei Kuzmenko
F
1160.9–45.50.820.980.0100.0100.0
Nicholas Robertson
F
1165.2–92.90.610.050.0100.0100.0
Elmer Soderblom
F
1147.60.041.60.230.330.050.050.0

Colorado Avalanche skaters

PlayerTOICF%GF%xGF%xGFxGASh%Sv%PDO
Nathan MacKinnon
F
2360.080.073.73.261.1618.290.0108.2
Devon Toews
D
2343.5100.048.71.261.3320.0100.0120.0
Cale Makar
D
2256.1100.068.82.341.0615.0100.0115.0
Martin Necas
F
2148.975.058.21.811.3020.088.9108.9
Nazem Kadri
F
2160.0100.078.72.940.8021.4100.0121.4
Brock Nelson
F
2050.0100.060.21.611.0714.3100.0114.3
Artturi Lehkonen
F
1945.766.760.42.341.5315.490.9106.3
Brett Kulak
D
1848.7100.059.01.731.2011.1100.0111.1
Gabriel Landeskog
F
1551.9100.064.21.350.7514.3100.0114.3
Josh Manson
D
1542.90.065.00.910.490.087.587.5
Fedor Svechkov
F
1526.10.08.10.091.070.087.587.5
Sam Malinski
D
1438.550.049.10.890.9316.783.3100.0
Jaden Schwartz
F
1454.850.054.61.120.9311.188.9100.0
Brent Burns
D
1460.050.062.31.530.9316.788.9105.6
T.J. Hughes
F
1253.166.756.31.190.9220.088.9108.9
Parker Kelly
F
1235.0–11.00.050.430.0100.0100.0
Gavin Brindley
F
945.5–33.10.250.500.0100.0100.0
Noah Juulsen
D
820.00.017.80.221.030.088.988.9