Paper

Thu, Oct 15, 2026

Sabres 5 Maple Leafs 4 OT

Deserved to win

BUF 54%46% TOR

BUF 3.04 xG on 49 attempts, TOR 2.79 xG on 42, empty nets left out. How it works →

16%BUF 3+
13%BUF 2
17%BUF 1
18%Tied
15%TOR 1
11%TOR 2
11%TOR 3+
Replayed: final margins. Dark bar = actual result.

Scoring

Every goal, all situations, with the score after it (away–home).

  1. Period 1

    1. 2:24TORAuston Matthews (1)Jack Roslovic0–1
    2. 3:35BUFJack Quinn (1)Zach Benson, Zach Metsa1–1
    3. 13:10TORKirill Marchenko (1)PPJohn Tavares, Darren Raddysh1–2

  2. Period 2

    1. 2:41BUFJack Quinn (2)Noah Ostlund, Mattias Samuelsson2–2
    2. 11:13TORKirill Marchenko (2)John Tavares2–3
    3. 16:51TORKirill Marchenko (3)Colton Sissons, Easton Cowan2–4

  3. Period 3

    1. 10:05BUFDennis Gilbert (1)Jack Quinn, Zach Benson3–4
    2. 12:16BUFMattias Samuelsson (1)Tage Thompson4–4

  4. Overtime

    1. 3:14BUFOwen Power (1)Jack Quinn, Noah Ostlund5–4

Goalies

Saves on shots on goal (the NHL's boxscore), all situations; GSAx is expected goals against minus goals against on unblocked attempts while he was in.

Teams

TeamTOICF%GF%xGF%xGFxGASh%Sv%PDO
BUF
6356.155.652.13.042.7914.386.7101.0
TOR
6343.944.447.92.793.0413.385.799.0

Flow

Unblocked attempts, running total · BUF 49, TOR 42

BUFTOR goal

Shots

Tage Thompson, OT 0:41, wrist, on goal, 0.23 xGWilliam Nylander, P2 19:13, wrist, missed, 0.18 xGKonsta Helenius, P1 3:53, backhand, missed, 0.17 xGJack Quinn, P2 5:37, snap, missed, 0.16 xGOlen Zellweger, P2 17:57, snap, on goal, 0.16 xGZach Benson, P2 15:07, wrist, on goal, 0.14 xGZach Benson, P2 15:39, tip-in, on goal, 0.14 xGJack Roslovic, P2 12:34, wrist, on goal, 0.13 xGTeddy Blueger, P1 13:28, backhand, on goal, 0.13 xGJack Roslovic, P1 15:01, tip-in, on goal, 0.13 xGEaston Cowan, P2 13:30, deflected, missed, 0.13 xGWilliam Nylander, P2 3:10, wrist, on goal, 0.12 xGNick Blankenburg, P1 15:42, snap, on goal, 0.12 xGGavin McKenna, P1 17:38, wrist, missed, 0.11 xGKonsta Helenius, P1 3:52, backhand, on goal, 0.10 xGRyan McLeod, P3 10:52, deflected, on goal, 0.10 xGTage Thompson, OT 2:55, snap, missed, 0.10 xGTeddy Blueger, P2 10:36, deflected, missed, 0.09 xGTeddy Blueger, P2 13:29, wrist, on goal, 0.09 xGOwen Power, P1 19:37, wrist, missed, 0.08 xGNick Blankenburg, P2 8:31, wrist, on goal, 0.08 xGKirill Marchenko, OT 0:33, snap, missed, 0.08 xGNick Paul, P3 15:36, wrist, on goal, 0.07 xGMattias Samuelsson, P2 12:04, wrist, on goal, 0.07 xGNoah Ostlund, P2 18:12, wrist, on goal, 0.07 xGWilliam Nylander, P2 19:14, wrist, on goal, 0.07 xGColton Sissons, P1 2:01, tip-in, missed, 0.07 xGZach Benson, P1 8:26, tip-in, missed, 0.07 xGMorgan Rielly, P2 1:22, wrist, on goal, 0.07 xGGavin McKenna, P1 11:56, wrist, missed, 0.06 xGJack Quinn, P2 15:00, snap, missed, 0.06 xGJack Quinn, P1 13:19, wrist, on goal, 0.06 xGWilliam Nylander, P1 13:02, slap, on goal, 0.06 xGWilliam Nylander, P1 19:14, wrist, on goal, 0.06 xGTage Thompson, P2 6:35, snap, on goal, 0.06 xGLouis Crevier, P3 2:26, backhand, on goal, 0.05 xGJack Roslovic, P1 14:50, wrist, on goal, 0.05 xGEaston Cowan, P1 4:25, wrist, missed, 0.05 xGOlen Zellweger, P2 4:31, wrist, on goal, 0.05 xGGavin McKenna, P2 9:59, wrist, on goal, 0.04 xGTage Thompson, P2 12:22, tip-in, on goal, 0.04 xGOlen Zellweger, P1 0:32, wrist, on goal, 0.02 xGJack Quinn, P1 0:51, wrist, on goal, 0.03 xGZach Benson, P1 0:56, wrist, on goal, 0.03 xGKonsta Helenius, P1 1:41, wrist, on goal, 0.02 xGDarren Raddysh, P1 2:14, wrist, on goal, 0.01 xGOlen Zellweger, P1 2:41, snap, on goal, 0.02 xGLouis Crevier, P1 3:56, slap, missed, 0.02 xGWilliam Nylander, P1 5:41, wrist, on goal, 0.02 xGTeddy Blueger, P1 6:20, wrist, on goal, 0.01 xGTroy Stecher, P1 8:39, wrist, on goal, 0.03 xGEaston Cowan, P1 12:17, wrist, on goal, 0.04 xGMorgan Rielly, P1 12:28, wrist, on goal, 0.01 xGJack Roslovic, P1 15:09, wrist, on goal, 0.03 xGNick Blankenburg, P1 19:57, wrist, missed, 0.01 xGDarren Raddysh, P2 0:35, wrap-around, on goal, 0.03 xGWilliam Nylander, P2 0:43, wrist, missed, 0.01 xGPeyton Krebs, P2 1:59, wrist, on goal, 0.02 xGDarren Raddysh, P2 6:04, wrist, missed, 0.01 xGDennis Gilbert, P2 7:08, wrist, missed, 0.02 xGZach Benson, P2 11:22, wrist, on goal, 0.01 xGJack Quinn, P2 11:56, wrist, missed, 0.04 xGKonsta Helenius, P2 16:22, wrist, on goal, 0.02 xGMattias Samuelsson, P2 18:53, wrist, on goal, 0.03 xGJack Roslovic, P2 19:31, wrist, on goal, 0.03 xGTage Thompson, P2 19:51, wrist, missed, 0.02 xGTage Thompson, P3 0:53, slap, on goal, 0.02 xGOlen Zellweger, P3 2:11, wrist, on goal, 0.01 xGTage Thompson, P3 4:00, snap, on goal, 0.04 xGKonsta Helenius, P3 4:20, wrist, missed, 0.01 xGEaston Cowan, P3 7:33, wrist, on goal, 0.03 xGOlen Zellweger, P3 9:42, slap, missed, 0.02 xGKonsta Helenius, P3 10:14, snap, on goal, 0.04 xGOwen Power, P3 10:21, wrist, on goal, 0.04 xGRyan McLeod, P3 11:02, wrist, on goal, 0.04 xGMattias Samuelsson, P3 12:30, wrist, missed, 0.01 xGPeyton Krebs, P3 14:01, wrist, missed, 0.01 xGOlen Zellweger, P3 14:09, wrist, on goal, 0.03 xGMorgan Rielly, P3 15:28, wrist, on goal, 0.01 xGDarren Raddysh, P3 15:33, wrist, on goal, 0.01 xGTage Thompson, P3 15:51, slap, on goal, 0.04 xGEaston Cowan, P3 17:55, wrist, missed, 0.02 xGOwen Power, OT 3:14, snap, goal, 0.20 xGAuston Matthews, P1 2:24, wrist, goal, 0.16 xGKirill Marchenko, P2 16:51, wrist, goal, 0.16 xGJack Quinn, P1 3:35, wrist, goal, 0.15 xGKirill Marchenko, P1 13:10, between-legs, goal, 0.14 xGJack Quinn, P2 2:41, wrist, goal, 0.10 xGMattias Samuelsson, P3 12:16, wrist, goal, 0.07 xGKirill Marchenko, P2 11:13, wrist, goal, 0.05 xGDennis Gilbert, P3 10:05, snap, goal, 0.04 xG
End
BUF ← 5 G · 35 SOG · 49 unblocked · 3.04 xG goal on goal miss42 unblocked · 30 SOG · 4 G · 2.79 xG → TOR
Area = xG:0.050.200.50smallest ≤ 0.04

Buffalo Sabres skaters

PlayerTOICF%GF%xGF%xGFxGASh%Sv%PDO
Mattias Samuelsson
D
2847.950.039.70.981.4913.387.5100.8
Owen Power
D
2856.050.059.71.831.2411.185.796.8
Olen Zellweger
D
2457.550.037.50.731.2314.384.698.9
Noah Ostlund
F
2268.4100.073.71.850.6628.6100.0128.6
Zach Benson
F
2165.7100.065.71.340.7025.0100.0125.0
Tage Thompson
F
2157.950.059.71.430.966.391.797.9
Ryan McLeod
F
1957.150.048.30.830.897.788.996.6
Jack Quinn
F
1868.8100.069.51.320.5836.4100.0136.4
Josh Doan
F
1746.733.336.30.581.028.383.391.7
Louis Crevier
D
1658.3100.054.60.620.5214.3100.0114.3
Peyton Krebs
F
1643.50.021.50.200.740.077.877.8
Konsta Helenius
F
1559.30.043.10.530.700.060.060.0
Josh Norris
F
1562.50.052.20.530.480.060.060.0
Zach Metsa
D
1336.40.026.30.280.800.087.587.5
Dennis Gilbert
D
1180.0100.089.20.670.0828.6100.0128.6
Beck Malenstyn
F
833.30.022.00.130.480.080.080.0
Justin Danforth
F
640.00.024.60.130.410.066.766.7
Sam Carrick
F
625.0–7.90.020.280.0100.0100.0

Toronto Maple Leafs skaters

PlayerTOICF%GF%xGF%xGFxGASh%Sv%PDO
Darren Raddysh
D
2748.1100.058.81.671.1723.5100.0123.5
Jake McCabe
D
2437.250.038.00.811.3118.289.5107.7
William Nylander
F
2251.466.760.61.400.9112.590.9103.4
Auston Matthews
F
2255.066.760.91.540.9911.890.0101.8
Oliver Ekman-Larsson
D
2058.150.070.71.350.5611.185.796.8
Jack Roslovic
F
1945.533.341.30.871.238.381.890.2
Kirill Marchenko
F
1945.560.037.30.771.3030.083.3113.3
Morgan Rielly
D
1930.00.023.00.301.000.080.080.0
Colton Sissons
F
1837.033.342.90.590.7820.077.897.8
Nick Paul
F
1739.350.035.90.420.7416.790.9107.6
Troy Stecher
D
1731.30.023.30.341.120.072.772.7
Easton Cowan
F
1751.950.075.70.840.2716.783.3100.0
Nick Blankenburg
D
1663.20.066.90.780.390.075.075.0
Teddy Blueger
F
1531.8–45.00.460.560.0100.0100.0
John Tavares
F
1238.966.737.50.380.6333.387.5120.8
Brandon Duhaime
F
1242.90.058.60.360.250.083.383.3
Gavin McKenna
F
753.30.061.50.410.260.075.075.0
Zack MacEwen
F
540.00.055.20.230.180.066.766.7