Paper

Thu, Oct 8, 2026

Maple Leafs 3 Golden Knights 4 SO

Deserved to win

TOR 15%85% VGK

TOR 2.60 xG on 36 attempts, VGK 5.30 xG on 64, empty nets left out. How it works →

2%TOR 3+
3%TOR 2
6%TOR 1
9%Tied
13%VGK 1
15%VGK 2
52%VGK 3+
Replayed: final margins. Dark bar = actual result.

Scoring

Every goal, all situations, with the score after it (away–home).

  1. Period 1

    1. 0:34TORJack Roslovic (1)Auston Matthews, Kirill Marchenko1–0
    2. 3:20TOREaston Cowan (1)Chris Tanev2–0
    3. 8:37TORNick Paul (1)Darren Raddysh, Gavin McKenna3–0
    4. 17:36VGKMark Stone (1)Jack Eichel, Ivan Barbashev3–1

  2. Period 2

    1. 1:12VGKBrett Howden (1)Mitch Marner, William Karlsson3–2
    2. 3:58VGKJack Eichel (1)1v0Unassisted3–3

Decided in a shootout: its deciding goal is in the final score only.

Goalies

Saves on shots on goal (the NHL's boxscore), all situations; GSAx is expected goals against minus goals against on unblocked attempts while he was in.

Teams

TeamTOICF%GF%xGF%xGFxGASh%Sv%PDO
TOR
6539.450.032.92.605.3012.593.0105.5
VGK
6560.650.067.15.302.607.087.594.5

Flow

Unblocked attempts, running total · TOR 36, VGK 64

TORVGK goal

Shots

Trevor Connelly, P2 6:15, wrist, missed, 0.41 xGMitch Marner, P2 11:48, wrist, missed, 0.30 xGBrett Howden, OT 2:16, wrist, on goal, 0.28 xGJohn Tavares, OT 1:45, snap, missed, 0.24 xGWilliam Nylander, OT 3:56, backhand, on goal, 0.21 xGTrevor Connelly, P2 6:45, snap, on goal, 0.20 xGMitch Marner, OT 4:08, wrist, on goal, 0.20 xGMark Stone, P3 13:14, wrist, missed, 0.17 xGJack Eichel, OT 4:44, wrist, on goal, 0.17 xGTomas Hertl, P3 10:36, snap, missed, 0.16 xGTomas Hertl, P3 9:49, snap, on goal, 0.16 xGJack Roslovic, OT 2:04, wrist, on goal, 0.16 xGTrevor Connelly, P1 16:00, snap, on goal, 0.16 xGJack Eichel, P3 19:05, wrist, on goal, 0.15 xGMark Stone, P2 0:24, wrist, on goal, 0.14 xGMark Stone, P3 1:39, wrist, missed, 0.14 xGBrett Howden, P2 11:46, backhand, missed, 0.13 xGNick Paul, P2 10:04, wrist, on goal, 0.13 xGKirill Marchenko, P2 17:30, tip-in, missed, 0.12 xGJack Roslovic, P2 19:13, wrist, missed, 0.12 xGTrevor Connelly, P2 13:30, snap, on goal, 0.12 xGJack Roslovic, P2 19:12, wrist, on goal, 0.12 xGMitch Marner, P2 11:48, wrist, on goal, 0.12 xGKirill Marchenko, OT 4:53, wrist, on goal, 0.12 xGTomas Hertl, P3 11:01, tip-in, on goal, 0.11 xGTomas Hertl, P2 5:58, wrist, missed, 0.11 xGIvan Barbashev, P2 15:07, snap, on goal, 0.10 xGTomas Hertl, P3 10:42, tip-in, missed, 0.09 xGShea Theodore, OT 3:37, slap, on goal, 0.09 xGMorgan Rielly, OT 4:18, snap, missed, 0.09 xGJack Eichel, P2 3:55, backhand, on goal, 0.09 xGJack Eichel, P2 0:40, snap, on goal, 0.08 xGTomas Hertl, P2 2:21, wrist, on goal, 0.07 xGWilliam Nylander, P2 3:07, snap, on goal, 0.07 xGMarc Gatcomb, P2 11:14, snap, missed, 0.07 xGRasmus Andersson, P2 14:56, slap, on goal, 0.07 xGWilliam Nylander, P2 15:54, wrist, on goal, 0.07 xGMark Stone, P3 1:37, tip-in, on goal, 0.07 xGJack Eichel, P1 4:18, tip-in, on goal, 0.06 xGTrevor Connelly, P3 13:21, snap, missed, 0.06 xGMark Stone, P1 10:50, snap, on goal, 0.06 xGIvan Barbashev, P3 19:10, snap, on goal, 0.06 xGRasmus Andersson, P1 12:43, snap, missed, 0.05 xGMarc Gatcomb, P1 13:25, wrist, on goal, 0.05 xGMark Stone, P2 6:13, wrist, on goal, 0.05 xGMarc Gatcomb, P3 12:15, tip-in, missed, 0.05 xGParker Wotherspoon, P2 12:10, slap, on goal, 0.05 xGAuston Matthews, P3 2:45, wrist, on goal, 0.05 xGEaston Cowan, P1 14:36, wrist, on goal, 0.05 xGBrett Howden, P2 11:47, wrist, on goal, 0.04 xGKirill Marchenko, P2 12:33, wrist, missed, 0.04 xGAuston Matthews, P1 6:39, wrist, on goal, 0.04 xGKirill Marchenko, P1 6:46, wrist, missed, 0.04 xGEaston Cowan, P2 12:28, snap, on goal, 0.04 xGGavin McKenna, P1 2:01, wrist, on goal, 0.04 xGMark Stone, P2 5:29, wrap-around, missed, 0.04 xGTroy Stecher, P1 1:47, wrist, on goal, 0.01 xGDarren Raddysh, P1 2:04, wrist, missed, 0.02 xGDarren Raddysh, P1 2:18, slap, on goal, 0.03 xGNoah Hanifin, P1 3:29, wrist, on goal, 0.03 xGNoah Hanifin, P1 3:56, snap, missed, 0.01 xGRasmus Andersson, P1 5:34, slap, missed, 0.02 xGBrayden McNabb, P1 7:28, slap, missed, 0.03 xGShea Theodore, P1 7:29, slap, missed, 0.03 xGNick Paul, P1 11:26, wrist, missed, 0.03 xGRasmus Andersson, P1 12:31, tip-in, on goal, 0.00 xGEaston Cowan, P1 14:52, snap, on goal, 0.04 xGTrevor Connelly, P1 15:52, wrist, missed, 0.01 xGIvan Barbashev, P2 0:49, snap, on goal, 0.04 xGParker Wotherspoon, P2 1:45, wrist, on goal, 0.02 xGKirill Marchenko, P2 3:19, wrist, on goal, 0.02 xGMitch Marner, P2 5:08, slap, on goal, 0.03 xGWilliam Karlsson, P2 7:20, backhand, missed, 0.01 xGJeremy Lauzon, P2 7:52, snap, on goal, 0.01 xGBrayden McNabb, P2 9:15, wrist, on goal, 0.03 xGShea Theodore, P2 11:44, backhand, on goal, 0.01 xGJeremy Lauzon, P2 12:44, wrist, on goal, 0.03 xGMorgan Rielly, P2 14:21, wrist, on goal, 0.00 xGKirill Marchenko, P2 16:44, backhand, on goal, 0.03 xGOliver Ekman-Larsson, P3 2:21, wrist, missed, 0.01 xGMorgan Rielly, P3 2:37, wrist, missed, 0.03 xGWilliam Nylander, P3 2:48, wrist, on goal, 0.03 xGParker Wotherspoon, P3 3:36, wrist, missed, 0.01 xGMitch Marner, P3 3:43, wrist, on goal, 0.01 xGJake McCabe, P3 5:50, snap, on goal, 0.04 xGWilliam Karlsson, P3 8:22, snap, on goal, 0.02 xGIvan Barbashev, P3 8:54, wrist, on goal, 0.02 xGMitch Marner, P3 9:43, wrist, on goal, 0.02 xGWilliam Nylander, P3 13:29, wrist, on goal, 0.04 xGMorgan Rielly, P3 13:40, wrist, missed, 0.02 xGRasmus Andersson, P3 14:09, slap, on goal, 0.01 xGParker Wotherspoon, P3 14:45, wrist, missed, 0.02 xGKirill Marchenko, P3 18:03, wrist, missed, 0.01 xGShea Theodore, P3 19:03, wrist, on goal, 0.02 xGNick Paul, P1 8:37, slap, goal, 0.26 xGEaston Cowan, P1 3:20, snap, goal, 0.18 xGJack Eichel, P2 3:58, wrist, goal, 0.15 xGBrett Howden, P2 1:12, deflected, goal, 0.10 xGMark Stone, P1 17:36, slap, goal, 0.06 xGJack Roslovic, P1 0:34, backhand, goal, 0.05 xG
End
TOR ← 3 G · 24 SOG · 36 unblocked · 2.60 xG goal on goal miss64 unblocked · 43 SOG · 3 G · 5.29 xG → VGK
Area = xG:0.050.200.50smallest ≤ 0.04

Toronto Maple Leafs skaters

PlayerTOICF%GF%xGF%xGFxGASh%Sv%PDO
Darren Raddysh
D
2541.133.333.71.062.0914.390.9105.2
Jake McCabe
D
2423.4100.018.90.562.3825.0100.0125.0
Chris Tanev
D
2215.4100.08.90.222.2320.0100.0120.0
Auston Matthews
F
2247.850.032.40.891.8710.093.3103.3
Morgan Rielly
D
2144.333.335.51.322.419.190.9100.0
William Nylander
F
2144.70.038.31.101.770.085.785.7
Kirill Marchenko
F
1855.050.044.30.981.2412.591.7104.2
Jack Roslovic
F
1847.550.030.70.821.8610.092.9102.9
Nick Paul
F
1737.9100.039.50.470.7325.0100.0125.0
Troy Stecher
D
1759.450.058.30.490.3512.583.395.8
Colton Sissons
F
1642.3100.046.70.470.5425.0100.0125.0
John Tavares
F
1544.40.044.20.700.880.081.881.8
Oliver Ekman-Larsson
D
1552.00.048.20.370.390.085.785.7
Gavin McKenna
F
1453.3100.063.30.880.5112.5100.0112.5
Easton Cowan
F
1436.733.345.10.590.7220.077.897.8
Brandon Duhaime
F
1212.0–0.10.001.540.0100.0100.0
Teddy Blueger
F
1113.0100.014.10.251.5333.3100.0133.3
Bo Groulx
F
623.1100.030.00.180.41100.0100.0200.0

Vegas Golden Knights skaters

PlayerTOICF%GF%xGF%xGFxGASh%Sv%PDO
Jack Eichel
F
2770.0100.084.53.300.618.0100.0108.0
Mitch Marner
F
2470.933.378.52.840.784.875.079.8
Mark Stone
F
2468.6100.088.22.690.365.6100.0105.6
Noah Hanifin
D
2254.0–56.41.451.110.0100.0100.0
Shea Theodore
D
2155.666.770.01.660.7114.390.9105.2
William Karlsson
F
1960.033.357.61.461.076.766.773.3
Rasmus Andersson
D
1973.033.365.21.210.657.160.067.1
Ivan Barbashev
F
1970.7100.090.11.510.1710.0100.0110.0
Brayden McNabb
D
1848.666.765.31.180.6325.090.0115.0
Parker Wotherspoon
D
1767.733.352.60.850.7710.060.070.0
Jeremy Lauzon
D
1641.9–51.20.540.510.0100.0100.0
Trevor Connelly
F
1568.40.076.72.260.690.085.785.7
Brett Howden
F
1557.633.359.51.190.819.166.775.8
Tomas Hertl
F
1573.30.077.71.570.450.080.080.0
Braeden Bowman
F
1452.0–64.60.570.310.0100.0100.0
Nic Dowd
F
1131.6–19.70.170.680.0100.0100.0
Marc Gatcomb
F
1050.0100.064.50.450.2533.3100.0133.3
Raphael Lavoie
F
853.30.024.90.150.450.075.075.0