Paper

Thu, Oct 8, 2026

Avalanche 7 Flames 3

Deserved to win

COL 52%48% CGY

COL 2.71 xG on 46 attempts, CGY 2.60 xG on 46, empty nets left out. How it works →

13%COL 3+
12%COL 2
17%COL 1
18%Tied
16%CGY 1
11%CGY 2
11%CGY 3+
Replayed: final margins. Dark bar = actual result.

Scoring

Every goal, all situations, with the score after it (away–home).

  1. Period 1

    1. 15:54COLDevon Toews (1)Cale Makar, Brock Nelson1–0
    2. 17:30CGYAdam Klapka (1)Jonathan Castagna1–1

  2. Period 2

    1. 6:45COLDevon Toews (2)Noah Juulsen, Parker Kelly2–1
    2. 9:16COLCale Makar (1)Nathan MacKinnon, Brett Kulak3–1
    3. 11:39COLNathan MacKinnon (1)Zachary L'Heureux4–1

  3. Period 3

    1. 5:35COLCale Makar (2)Nathan MacKinnon, Nazem Kadri5–1
    2. 6:34COLJaden Schwartz (1)T.J. Hughes, Brett Kulak6–1
    3. 7:17CGYMikael Backlund (1)Ryan Strome6–2
    4. 8:28CGYKevin Bahl (1)Joel Farabee, Yegor Sharangovich6–3
    5. 9:41COLJaden Schwartz (2)Fedor Svechkov, Brent Burns7–3

Goalies

Saves on shots on goal (the NHL's boxscore), all situations; GSAx is expected goals against minus goals against on unblocked attempts while he was in.

Teams

TeamTOICF%GF%xGF%xGFxGASh%Sv%PDO
COL
6050.470.051.02.712.6023.389.7113.0
CGY
6049.630.049.02.602.7110.376.787.0

Flow

Unblocked attempts, running total · COL 46, CGY 46

COLCGY goal

Shots

Mikael Backlund, P2 14:39, snap, on goal, 0.24 xGT.J. Hughes, P1 6:44, snap, on goal, 0.20 xGNathan MacKinnon, P3 5:25, wrist, missed, 0.17 xGMorgan Frost, P2 2:53, snap, on goal, 0.16 xGMikael Backlund, P1 3:10, wrist, on goal, 0.14 xGJoel Farabee, P1 7:29, wrist, on goal, 0.14 xGMikael Backlund, P2 18:27, snap, missed, 0.13 xGNicolas Roy, P2 11:30, wrist, missed, 0.13 xGParker Kelly, P3 6:07, snap, on goal, 0.13 xGNicolas Roy, P2 6:25, wrist, missed, 0.12 xGZachary L'Heureux, P2 11:19, poke, missed, 0.12 xGZachary L'Heureux, P3 12:07, wrist, on goal, 0.12 xGMartin Necas, P3 0:50, snap, on goal, 0.12 xGSimon Nemec, P2 5:23, wrist, missed, 0.11 xGMikael Backlund, P2 18:18, wrist, missed, 0.10 xGGabriel Landeskog, P2 10:19, backhand, on goal, 0.10 xGAdam Klapka, P1 11:32, tip-in, missed, 0.09 xGT.J. Hughes, P3 6:21, backhand, on goal, 0.09 xGMikael Backlund, P1 3:11, backhand, on goal, 0.08 xGNicolas Roy, P2 11:04, wrist, missed, 0.08 xGAdam Klapka, P3 19:13, wrist, missed, 0.08 xGArtturi Lehkonen, P2 3:12, tip-in, on goal, 0.07 xGZayne Parekh, P1 19:59, wrist, missed, 0.07 xGJosh Manson, P2 11:12, tip-in, missed, 0.07 xGMatvei Gridin, P1 5:11, tip-in, missed, 0.07 xGSimon Nemec, P2 5:26, wrist, missed, 0.07 xGT.J. Hughes, P3 6:13, slap, on goal, 0.07 xGNazem Kadri, P1 3:31, wrist, on goal, 0.06 xGBrock Nelson, P2 10:24, tip-in, on goal, 0.06 xGGabriel Landeskog, P2 3:19, tip-in, missed, 0.06 xGT.J. Hughes, P2 8:14, wrist, on goal, 0.06 xGParker Kelly, P1 2:53, bat, missed, 0.05 xGZayne Parekh, P1 14:50, backhand, missed, 0.05 xGMartin Pospisil, P2 4:31, backhand, on goal, 0.05 xGYegor Sharangovich, P2 5:27, poke, missed, 0.05 xGYegor Sharangovich, P3 8:09, tip-in, missed, 0.05 xGMikael Backlund, P3 1:41, wrist, on goal, 0.05 xGJaden Schwartz, P3 3:33, tip-in, missed, 0.04 xGNathan MacKinnon, P1 12:31, backhand, on goal, 0.04 xGMartin Necas, P3 2:21, wrist, missed, 0.04 xGMartin Necas, P2 2:30, tip-in, on goal, 0.04 xGSimon Nemec, P1 2:27, wrist, missed, 0.01 xGZayne Parekh, P1 4:25, wrist, missed, 0.01 xGJosh Manson, P1 8:57, wrist, missed, 0.04 xGMatvei Gridin, P1 9:05, snap, on goal, 0.03 xGJoel Farabee, P1 9:38, backhand, on goal, 0.03 xGDevon Toews, P1 10:30, wrist, on goal, 0.01 xGYegor Sharangovich, P1 12:42, wrist, on goal, 0.03 xGJosh Manson, P1 13:40, wrist, missed, 0.02 xGMatvei Gridin, P1 18:54, wrist, on goal, 0.01 xGZach Whitecloud, P1 19:10, snap, missed, 0.03 xGBrent Burns, P1 19:22, wrist, on goal, 0.00 xGYan Kuznetsov, P2 0:41, wrist, on goal, 0.01 xGJake Middleton, P2 2:46, snap, on goal, 0.02 xGMikael Backlund, P2 5:07, wrist, on goal, 0.04 xGYegor Sharangovich, P2 5:21, wrist, on goal, 0.02 xGYegor Sharangovich, P2 5:24, poke, on goal, 0.03 xGSimon Nemec, P2 5:29, poke, on goal, 0.04 xGBrent Burns, P2 6:02, wrist, on goal, 0.01 xGZach Whitecloud, P2 9:46, snap, on goal, 0.01 xGJosh Manson, P2 10:09, wrist, on goal, 0.01 xGJosh Manson, P2 11:17, wrist, on goal, 0.01 xGNazem Kadri, P2 12:23, wrist, on goal, 0.02 xGT.J. Hughes, P2 12:26, wrist, on goal, 0.03 xGYan Kuznetsov, P2 15:36, wrist, missed, 0.02 xGBrent Burns, P2 17:07, wrist, missed, 0.02 xGZayne Parekh, P2 19:59, wrist, on goal, 0.04 xGMikael Backlund, P3 2:03, wrist, on goal, 0.02 xGMartin Pospisil, P3 3:18, wrist, on goal, 0.02 xGT.J. Hughes, P3 3:52, wrist, on goal, 0.01 xGBrett Kulak, P3 4:13, slap, missed, 0.01 xGMatvei Gridin, P3 4:56, wrist, missed, 0.01 xGSamuel Honzek, P3 5:57, wrist, on goal, 0.02 xGMikael Backlund, P3 10:19, slap, missed, 0.02 xGAydar Suniev, P3 11:41, wrist, on goal, 0.02 xGYegor Sharangovich, P3 13:31, wrist, on goal, 0.01 xGYan Kuznetsov, P3 14:25, slap, on goal, 0.03 xGJosh Manson, P3 15:13, wrist, missed, 0.02 xGBrent Burns, P3 15:23, wrist, missed, 0.01 xGMikael Backlund, P3 16:37, wrist, on goal, 0.03 xGZachary L'Heureux, P3 18:23, tip-in, on goal, 0.01 xGParker Kelly, P3 18:47, wrist, on goal, 0.00 xGJaden Schwartz, P3 6:34, snap, goal, 0.14 xGKevin Bahl, P3 8:28, wrist, goal, 0.14 xGDevon Toews, P1 15:54, tip-in, goal, 0.12 xGAdam Klapka, P1 17:30, wrist, goal, 0.08 xGMikael Backlund, P3 7:17, tip-in, goal, 0.08 xGCale Makar, P2 9:16, wrist, goal, 0.05 xGCale Makar, P3 5:35, slap, goal, 0.04 xGDevon Toews, P2 6:45, wrist, goal, 0.01 xGNathan MacKinnon, P2 11:39, slap, goal, 0.04 xGJaden Schwartz, P3 9:41, wrist, goal, 0.02 xG
End
COL ← 7 G · 30 SOG · 46 unblocked · 2.71 xG goal on goal miss46 unblocked · 29 SOG · 3 G · 2.61 xG → CGY
Area = xG:0.050.200.50smallest ≤ 0.04

Colorado Avalanche skaters

PlayerTOICF%GF%xGF%xGFxGASh%Sv%PDO
Cale Makar
D
2244.275.041.00.981.4127.392.9120.1
Josh Manson
D
2060.050.066.80.980.4920.077.897.8
Brent Burns
D
2061.050.065.70.940.4920.066.786.7
Devon Toews
D
1959.3100.059.90.740.4933.3100.0133.3
Brett Kulak
D
1936.2100.036.40.751.3022.2100.0122.2
Nathan MacKinnon
F
1942.175.037.90.821.3533.391.7125.0
Artturi Lehkonen
F
1732.3100.030.20.521.2133.3100.0133.3
Martin Necas
F
1754.350.069.61.110.4911.188.9100.0
Nazem Kadri
F
1736.466.734.50.691.3025.090.9115.9
Noah Juulsen
D
1746.266.751.40.910.8620.087.5107.5
T.J. Hughes
F
1660.6100.067.50.780.3720.0100.0120.0
Brock Nelson
F
1639.350.045.80.430.5116.788.9105.6
Gabriel Landeskog
F
1450.050.050.60.440.4316.783.3100.0
Nicolas Roy
F
1464.766.764.10.990.5528.685.7114.3
Jaden Schwartz
F
1454.2100.069.40.480.2125.0100.0125.0
Fedor Svechkov
F
1261.5100.071.60.490.2025.0100.0125.0
Parker Kelly
F
1251.950.041.20.420.6020.087.5107.5
Zachary L'Heureux
F
1161.350.060.90.970.6328.675.0103.6

Calgary Flames skaters

PlayerTOICF%GF%xGF%xGFxGASh%Sv%PDO
Kevin Bahl
D
2265.250.064.11.610.907.190.998.1
Zayne Parekh
D
2127.340.031.30.571.2625.076.9101.9
Simon Nemec
D
2057.10.049.00.770.800.070.070.0
Yan Kuznetsov
D
1953.10.041.20.410.590.050.050.0
Jake Middleton
D
1927.540.033.40.591.1825.075.0100.0
Zach Whitecloud
D
1864.750.059.61.140.7711.187.598.6
Mikael Backlund
F
1867.550.061.21.410.897.187.594.6
Morgan Frost
F
1758.133.354.90.620.5112.566.779.2
Joel Farabee
F
1763.050.067.21.080.5312.587.5100.0
Matt Coronato
F
1655.60.049.90.510.510.066.766.7
Samuel Honzek
F
1624.00.013.40.161.060.077.877.8
Yegor Sharangovich
F
1575.066.772.91.270.4716.780.096.7
Matvei Gridin
F
1563.00.055.60.450.360.075.075.0
Martin Pospisil
F
1529.60.027.00.300.810.075.075.0
Ryan Strome
F
1550.033.343.50.600.7910.075.085.0
Aydar Suniev
F
1234.325.044.50.530.6720.070.090.0
Adam Klapka
F
1138.233.343.80.500.6433.375.0108.3
Jonathan Castagna
F
929.233.333.80.260.50100.075.0175.0