Paper

Tue, Oct 6, 2026

Senators 3 Red Wings 5

Deserved to win

OTT 39%61% DET

OTT 2.56 xG on 35 attempts, DET 3.21 xG excl. empty net on 44, empty nets left out. How it works →

8%OTT 3+
9%OTT 2
14%OTT 1
17%Tied
18%DET 1
15%DET 2
20%DET 3+
Replayed: final margins. Dark bar = actual result.

Scoring

Every goal, all situations, with the score after it (away–home).

  1. Period 1

    1. 2:44OTTTim Stützle (1)Drake Batherson, Ridly Greig1–0
    2. 3:16DETAlex DeBrincat (1)Nate Danielson, Carter Mazur1–1
    3. 13:14DETDylan Larkin (1)Viktor Arvidsson, Alex DeBrincat1–2

  2. Period 2

    1. 2:01DETViktor Arvidsson (1)PPDylan Larkin, Lucas Raymond1–3
    2. 4:30DETJustin Faulk (1)William Wallinder, Lucas Raymond1–4
    3. 6:08OTTDrake Batherson (1)PPWilliam Eklund, Carter Yakemchuk2–4

  3. Period 3

    1. 10:30OTTWilliam Eklund (1)Fabian Zetterlund, Tim Stützle3–4
    2. 19:10DETAlex DeBrincat (2)ENLucas Raymond, Justin Faulk3–5

Goalies

Saves on shots on goal (the NHL's boxscore), all situations; GSAx is expected goals against minus goals against on unblocked attempts while he was in.

Teams

TeamTOICF%GF%xGF%xGFxGASh%Sv%PDO
OTT
6045.237.540.72.563.7212.086.198.1
DET
6054.862.559.33.722.5613.988.0101.9

Flow

Unblocked attempts, running total · OTT 35, DET 45

OTTDET goal

Shots

William Eklund, P3 11:54, wrist, missed, 0.26 xGTim Stützle, P3 15:49, snap, on goal, 0.20 xGAndrew Copp, P3 8:03, snap, on goal, 0.18 xGStephen Halliday, P3 19:42, snap, on goal, 0.16 xGCarter Mazur, P1 3:11, wrist, on goal, 0.15 xGDylan Larkin, P2 1:59, wrist, on goal, 0.15 xGFabian Zetterlund, P3 10:27, snap, missed, 0.14 xGJordan Spence, P2 5:53, wrist, on goal, 0.14 xGViktor Arvidsson, P1 11:54, wrist, on goal, 0.14 xGDylan Larkin, P2 1:09, tip-in, missed, 0.14 xGMichael Rasmussen, P3 7:55, tip-in, missed, 0.14 xGMoritz Seider, P2 16:54, snap, on goal, 0.13 xGWilliam Eklund, P2 2:11, snap, on goal, 0.13 xGShane Pinto, P3 17:11, poke, on goal, 0.12 xGDrake Batherson, P1 16:14, slap, missed, 0.12 xGDylan Cozens, P1 8:00, snap, on goal, 0.12 xGNate Danielson, P2 2:32, tip-in, on goal, 0.11 xGMichael Rasmussen, P2 16:04, tip-in, missed, 0.11 xGAndrew Copp, P3 10:42, wrist, on goal, 0.10 xGRidly Greig, P2 17:02, wrist, on goal, 0.10 xGLucas Raymond, P3 2:34, tip-in, on goal, 0.10 xGLucas Raymond, P1 18:44, snap, on goal, 0.10 xGDylan Cozens, P3 18:01, snap, missed, 0.10 xGEmmitt Finnie, P1 14:47, backhand, on goal, 0.09 xGLucas Raymond, P2 1:36, snap, on goal, 0.09 xGDylan Larkin, P2 12:28, wrist, on goal, 0.09 xGDylan Larkin, P1 13:05, wrist, missed, 0.09 xGLucas Raymond, P1 16:34, snap, on goal, 0.08 xGLucas Raymond, P1 5:39, poke, missed, 0.07 xGKeegan Kolesar, P2 4:06, wrist, on goal, 0.07 xGStephen Halliday, P2 18:32, wrist, on goal, 0.07 xGCarter Yakemchuk, P3 1:23, snap, on goal, 0.07 xGRidly Greig, P3 6:14, wrist, on goal, 0.06 xGThomas Chabot, P2 11:38, wrist, on goal, 0.06 xGAlex DeBrincat, P1 4:22, wrist, on goal, 0.05 xGEmmitt Finnie, P1 0:41, snap, on goal, 0.05 xGViktor Arvidsson, P2 1:30, snap, missed, 0.05 xGViktor Arvidsson, P3 5:16, slap, on goal, 0.04 xGMoritz Seider, P1 12:27, snap, on goal, 0.04 xGMoritz Seider, P1 0:55, wrist, missed, 0.01 xGJustin Faulk, P1 3:08, backhand, on goal, 0.00 xGRidly Greig, P1 5:15, wrist, missed, 0.03 xGLucas Raymond, P1 5:25, wrist, on goal, 0.01 xGJustin Faulk, P1 5:39, slap, on goal, 0.03 xGMichael Amadio, P1 6:53, wrist, missed, 0.04 xGThomas Chabot, P2 1:13, wrist, on goal, 0.00 xGLucas Raymond, P2 5:07, tip-in, on goal, 0.00 xGWilliam Eklund, P2 5:18, backhand, on goal, 0.01 xGNikolas Matinpalo, P2 7:14, wrist, missed, 0.01 xGTyler Kleven, P2 7:48, wrist, on goal, 0.01 xGCarter Yakemchuk, P2 7:54, slap, missed, 0.01 xGCarter Yakemchuk, P2 7:58, slap, on goal, 0.02 xGThomas Chabot, P2 8:19, snap, on goal, 0.03 xGThomas Chabot, P2 10:44, snap, on goal, 0.02 xGClaude Giroux, P2 10:54, slap, missed, 0.02 xGThomas Chabot, P2 13:12, wrist, on goal, 0.01 xGAxel Sandin-Pellikka, P2 15:08, wrist, on goal, 0.03 xGBen Chiarot, P2 18:14, wrist, on goal, 0.04 xGTyler Kleven, P2 19:08, slap, on goal, 0.03 xGAlbert Johansson, P2 19:14, wrist, on goal, 0.01 xGJustin Faulk, P3 2:29, slap, missed, 0.03 xGNikolas Matinpalo, P3 3:02, snap, on goal, 0.01 xGAlbert Johansson, P3 3:21, wrist, on goal, 0.01 xGAlbert Johansson, P3 5:41, wrist, on goal, 0.02 xGMichael Brandsegg-Nygård, P3 9:15, snap, on goal, 0.03 xGDylan Larkin, P3 10:02, wrist, on goal, 0.02 xGDrake Batherson, P3 11:53, wrist, on goal, 0.03 xGDylan Cozens, P3 14:36, snap, missed, 0.01 xGMoritz Seider, P3 14:42, snap, on goal, 0.01 xGDylan Larkin, P3 14:54, wrist, missed, 0.01 xGNikolas Matinpalo, P3 15:32, snap, on goal, 0.02 xGAndrew Copp, P3 16:17, wrist, on goal, 0.00 xGAlex DeBrincat, P3 19:10, wrist, goal, 0.51 xGViktor Arvidsson, P2 2:01, snap, goal, 0.26 xGDrake Batherson, P2 6:08, wrist, goal, 0.17 xGDylan Larkin, P1 13:14, wrist, goal, 0.15 xGTim Stützle, P1 2:44, snap, goal, 0.14 xGJustin Faulk, P2 4:30, wrist, goal, 0.11 xGAlex DeBrincat, P1 3:16, wrist, goal, 0.09 xGWilliam Eklund, P3 10:30, snap, goal, 0.09 xG
End
OTT ← 3 G · 25 SOG · 35 unblocked · 2.55 xG goal on goal miss45 unblocked · 36 SOG · 5 G · 3.72 xG → DET
Area = xG:0.050.200.50smallest ≤ 0.04

Ottawa Senators skaters

PlayerTOICF%GF%xGF%xGFxGASh%Sv%PDO
Thomas Chabot
D
2647.440.042.91.381.8315.481.396.6
Jordan Spence
D
2222.720.017.60.482.2433.377.8111.1
Tim Stützle
F
2253.350.045.21.421.7225.075.0100.0
Dylan Cozens
F
2150.050.054.81.501.247.190.998.1
William Eklund
F
2063.466.766.71.840.9215.488.9104.3
Tyler Kleven
D
1933.30.010.30.221.920.087.587.5
Drake Batherson
F
1765.666.784.41.500.2820.083.3103.3
Carter Yakemchuk
D
1775.050.067.31.140.557.787.595.2
Shane Pinto
F
1734.60.022.80.341.150.090.990.9
Nikolas Matinpalo
D
1743.3–41.70.500.700.0100.0100.0
Michael Amadio
F
1625.00.026.10.210.610.090.090.0
Claude Giroux
F
1545.8–36.10.380.670.0100.0100.0
Fabian Zetterlund
F
1550.0100.050.90.600.5812.5100.0112.5
Ridly Greig
F
1340.633.329.50.541.2912.581.894.3
Cameron Crotty
D
1143.8100.081.80.490.1125.0100.0125.0
Stephen Halliday
F
1156.30.047.70.430.470.085.785.7
Warren Foegele
F
933.30.017.10.090.450.083.383.3
Nick Cousins
F
645.50.06.40.030.480.060.060.0

Detroit Red Wings skaters

PlayerTOICF%GF%xGF%xGFxGASh%Sv%PDO
Moritz Seider
D
2461.950.066.31.961.0014.377.892.1
Dylan Larkin
F
2163.360.059.41.721.1717.675.092.6
Michael Rasmussen
F
2044.80.057.60.780.580.085.785.7
Lucas Raymond
F
2068.860.074.62.220.7615.866.782.5
Alex DeBrincat
F
1968.6100.080.11.940.4833.3100.0133.3
Andrew Copp
F
1841.950.068.11.320.6212.587.5100.0
Justin Faulk
D
1870.3100.080.71.880.4526.7100.0126.7
Emmitt Finnie
F
1852.8–47.10.981.100.0100.0100.0
Ben Chiarot
D
1830.60.021.20.331.240.091.791.7
Viktor Arvidsson
F
1770.560.075.81.750.5617.666.784.3
Anton Johansson
D
1732.3100.022.90.351.1625.0100.0125.0
Albert Johansson
D
1757.10.038.50.430.690.050.050.0
Keegan Kolesar
F
1516.7–26.40.230.630.0100.0100.0
Michael Brandsegg-Nygård
F
1360.0–37.50.150.250.0100.0100.0
Axel Sandin-Pellikka
D
1153.80.067.00.850.420.080.080.0
William Wallinder
D
968.4100.081.90.690.1520.0100.0120.0
Nate Danielson
F
866.7100.071.40.540.2214.3100.0114.3
Carter Mazur
F
753.3100.044.70.400.4916.7100.0116.7