Paper

Tue, Oct 6, 2026

Predators 4 Maple Leafs 5 OT

Deserved to win

NSH 39%61% TOR

NSH 3.23 xG on 40 attempts, TOR 3.95 xG on 55, empty nets left out. How it works →

10%NSH 3+
9%NSH 2
13%NSH 1
15%Tied
16%TOR 1
14%TOR 2
24%TOR 3+
Replayed: final margins. Dark bar = actual result.

Scoring

Every goal, all situations, with the score after it (away–home).

  1. Period 1

    1. 7:13NSHSteven Stamkos (1)PPMatthew Wood, Roman Josi1–0
    2. 9:08NSHNils Hoglander (1)Adam Wilsby, Filip Forsberg2–0

  2. Period 2

    1. 3:03NSHNils Hoglander (2)Filip Forsberg, Mavrik Bourque3–0
    2. 4:56TORJohn Tavares (1)Gavin McKenna, Anthony Stolarz3–1
    3. 6:58TORWilliam Nylander (1)PPAuston Matthews, Kirill Marchenko3–2
    4. 13:30NSHSteven Stamkos (2)Ryan O'Reilly, Brady Skjei4–2
    5. 14:31TORGavin McKenna (1)Auston Matthews, Jack Roslovic4–3

  3. Period 3

    1. 8:54TORJack Roslovic (1)Auston Matthews, William Nylander4–4

  4. Overtime

    1. 4:46TORAuston Matthews (1)William Nylander4–5

Goalies

Saves on shots on goal (the NHL's boxscore), all situations; GSAx is expected goals against minus goals against on unblocked attempts while he was in.

Teams

TeamTOICF%GF%xGF%xGFxGASh%Sv%PDO
NSH
6541.944.445.03.233.9516.086.5102.5
TOR
6558.155.655.03.953.2313.584.097.5

Flow

Unblocked attempts, running total · NSH 40, TOR 55

NSHTOR goal

Shots

William Nylander, OT 4:45, wrist, missed, 0.24 xGKirill Marchenko, P2 6:19, wrist, on goal, 0.20 xGEaston Cowan, OT 3:07, wrist, on goal, 0.20 xGFilip Forsberg, P2 3:01, wrist, on goal, 0.19 xGAdam Wilsby, P1 9:06, snap, missed, 0.18 xGNick Paul, P3 7:38, wrist, on goal, 0.17 xGAdam Edstrom, P1 4:45, wrist, on goal, 0.17 xGKirill Marchenko, P3 16:11, wrist, on goal, 0.15 xGJohn Tavares, P2 6:17, tip-in, on goal, 0.13 xGJohn Tavares, P2 5:44, wrist, on goal, 0.13 xGMorgan Rielly, OT 3:09, wrist, on goal, 0.12 xGFilip Forsberg, OT 4:11, deflected, missed, 0.12 xGMatthew Wood, P1 6:59, wrist, missed, 0.12 xGMatthew Wood, P1 12:27, bat, missed, 0.12 xGMorgan Rielly, OT 2:51, wrist, on goal, 0.12 xGAuston Matthews, OT 3:26, wrist, missed, 0.12 xGColton Sissons, P1 2:35, tip-in, on goal, 0.11 xGAdam Edstrom, P2 8:14, tip-in, on goal, 0.11 xGAlexander Kerfoot, P3 0:10, wrist, on goal, 0.11 xGSteven Stamkos, P1 6:06, slap, missed, 0.11 xGRyan O'Reilly, P1 9:24, backhand, on goal, 0.11 xGSteven Stamkos, P1 16:16, backhand, missed, 0.10 xGWilliam Nylander, P3 8:45, backhand, missed, 0.10 xGGavin McKenna, P1 15:10, tip-in, missed, 0.10 xGJohn Tavares, P3 5:23, tip-in, on goal, 0.10 xGKirill Marchenko, P1 4:05, backhand, missed, 0.10 xGJack Drury, P3 15:10, wrist, missed, 0.10 xGAuston Matthews, P2 6:56, wrist, on goal, 0.09 xGBrandon Duhaime, P1 3:03, wrap-around, missed, 0.08 xGWilliam Trudeau, P1 5:12, slap, missed, 0.08 xGMatthew Wood, P1 7:10, wrist, on goal, 0.08 xGWilliam Nylander, OT 4:32, wrist, missed, 0.08 xGAuston Matthews, P1 18:55, tip-in, missed, 0.08 xGSteven Stamkos, P1 6:02, slap, missed, 0.07 xGJonathan Marchessault, P1 19:37, wrist, on goal, 0.07 xGRyan O'Reilly, P1 6:45, backhand, missed, 0.07 xGSteven Stamkos, OT 0:13, wrist, on goal, 0.07 xGNick Paul, P1 10:51, wrist, on goal, 0.06 xGAuston Matthews, P1 16:05, wrist, on goal, 0.06 xGAdam Wilsby, P1 18:12, slap, on goal, 0.06 xGNick Perbix, P3 15:16, wrist, on goal, 0.06 xGJohn Tavares, P2 10:39, tip-in, on goal, 0.06 xGGavin McKenna, P2 1:20, wrist, missed, 0.06 xGGavin McKenna, P1 1:23, slap, on goal, 0.06 xGGavin McKenna, P1 4:55, wrist, on goal, 0.06 xGTroy Stecher, P2 18:08, wrist, on goal, 0.06 xGMavrik Bourque, P2 11:18, wrist, on goal, 0.05 xGRoman Josi, P1 12:25, wrist, on goal, 0.05 xGRoss Colton, P2 7:48, wrist, on goal, 0.05 xGJack Roslovic, P2 19:37, wrist, on goal, 0.04 xGJonathan Marchessault, P1 1:50, wrist, on goal, 0.01 xGNicolas Hague, P1 3:51, wrist, on goal, 0.01 xGFilip Forsberg, P1 5:29, wrist, on goal, 0.03 xGDarren Raddysh, P1 10:49, wrist, missed, 0.03 xGNick Perbix, P1 11:58, wrist, missed, 0.01 xGNicolas Hague, P1 12:20, wrist, missed, 0.02 xGJohn Tavares, P1 12:50, slap, on goal, 0.04 xGJohn Tavares, P1 14:59, snap, missed, 0.04 xGColton Sissons, P1 17:47, wrist, on goal, 0.03 xGEaston Cowan, P1 18:22, wrist, on goal, 0.02 xGOliver Ekman-Larsson, P2 5:28, wrist, missed, 0.02 xGDarren Raddysh, P2 6:05, wrist, on goal, 0.03 xGRoss Colton, P2 7:54, wrist, on goal, 0.03 xGAuston Matthews, P2 9:22, wrist, on goal, 0.03 xGWilliam Nylander, P2 10:56, wrist, missed, 0.04 xGTeddy Blueger, P2 12:22, wrist, on goal, 0.02 xGJack Roslovic, P2 17:09, wrist, missed, 0.02 xGNicolas Hague, P2 17:22, wrist, missed, 0.01 xGJack Roslovic, P3 0:40, wrist, on goal, 0.02 xGWilliam Trudeau, P3 2:24, wrist, on goal, 0.01 xGJake McCabe, P3 2:59, wrist, on goal, 0.02 xGBrandon Duhaime, P3 3:04, slap, on goal, 0.03 xGNick Perbix, P3 4:32, slap, missed, 0.03 xGDarren Raddysh, P3 5:17, wrist, on goal, 0.03 xGOliver Ekman-Larsson, P3 6:57, wrist, missed, 0.02 xGAdam Edstrom, P3 8:08, wrist, on goal, 0.01 xGAdam Wilsby, P3 9:16, wrist, on goal, 0.01 xGJack Drury, P3 9:55, wrist, on goal, 0.00 xGKirill Marchenko, P3 11:11, wrist, on goal, 0.02 xGDarren Raddysh, P3 13:53, wrist, missed, 0.01 xGSteven Stamkos, P3 14:16, tip-in, missed, 0.02 xGJohn Tavares, P3 15:53, wrist, missed, 0.03 xGEaston Cowan, P3 16:43, wrist, on goal, 0.03 xGAuston Matthews, P3 16:52, wrist, missed, 0.02 xGGavin McKenna, P3 17:33, wrist, on goal, 0.01 xGJack Roslovic, P3 19:41, wrist, on goal, 0.01 xGNils Hoglander, P1 9:08, backhand, goal, 0.35 xGSteven Stamkos, P1 7:13, wrist, goal, 0.25 xGWilliam Nylander, P2 6:58, wrist, goal, 0.16 xGAuston Matthews, OT 4:46, wrist, goal, 0.14 xGNils Hoglander, P2 3:03, backhand, goal, 0.13 xGJack Roslovic, P3 8:54, wrist, goal, 0.13 xGGavin McKenna, P2 14:31, wrist, goal, 0.06 xGJohn Tavares, P2 4:56, wrist, goal, 0.05 xGSteven Stamkos, P2 13:30, wrist, goal, 0.04 xG
End
NSH ← 4 G · 25 SOG · 40 unblocked · 3.23 xG goal on goal miss55 unblocked · 37 SOG · 5 G · 3.95 xG → TOR
Area = xG:0.050.200.50smallest ≤ 0.04

Nashville Predators skaters

PlayerTOICF%GF%xGF%xGFxGASh%Sv%PDO
Roman Josi
D
2744.433.340.81.261.8314.385.7100.0
Ryan O'Reilly
F
2446.940.042.61.161.5622.270.092.2
Brady Skjei
D
2339.550.041.21.101.5718.288.2106.4
Filip Forsberg
F
2153.375.061.51.951.2233.388.9122.2
Nick Perbix
D
2142.133.344.40.841.0510.081.891.8
Steven Stamkos
F
2060.066.765.41.260.6725.083.3108.3
Mavrik Bourque
F
1939.0100.045.80.830.989.1100.0109.1
Nicolas Hague
D
1936.4–36.20.380.670.0100.0100.0
Alexander Kerfoot
F
1943.80.038.60.721.150.075.075.0
Matthew Wood
F
1753.166.748.51.431.5250.090.9140.9
Jack Drury
F
1631.8–50.50.450.440.0100.0100.0
Adam Wilsby
D
1535.733.344.00.841.0714.380.094.3
Adam Edstrom
F
1438.50.042.50.480.650.090.990.9
Jonathan Marchessault
F
1335.550.040.20.490.7312.590.9103.4
Ross Colton
F
1331.00.045.50.440.520.088.988.9
Nils Hoglander
F
1150.066.763.71.040.5950.075.0125.0
William Trudeau
D
1136.850.062.20.800.4820.085.7105.7
Jack Ahcan
D
836.4100.060.80.330.2150.0100.0150.0

Toronto Maple Leafs skaters

PlayerTOICF%GF%xGF%xGFxGASh%Sv%PDO
Darren Raddysh
D
2666.066.773.72.110.7511.191.7102.8
Auston Matthews
F
2563.080.077.92.220.6328.683.3111.9
William Nylander
F
2366.0100.069.82.120.9217.6100.0117.6
Kirill Marchenko
F
2260.650.078.11.300.378.380.088.3
Morgan Rielly
D
2163.050.070.01.410.608.391.7100.0
Jake McCabe
D
2048.633.324.70.561.7010.066.776.7
John Tavares
F
1967.550.053.21.401.236.787.594.2
Chris Tanev
D
1948.650.027.50.641.6922.266.788.9
Jack Roslovic
F
1859.366.772.70.760.2928.675.0103.6
Oliver Ekman-Larsson
D
1755.650.051.90.790.7314.383.397.6
Troy Stecher
D
1750.050.045.20.650.7811.185.796.8
Easton Cowan
F
1657.1–67.00.960.470.0100.0100.0
Gavin McKenna
F
1563.675.051.01.211.1625.085.7110.7
Colton Sissons
F
1440.733.328.90.521.2714.375.089.3
Nick Paul
F
1357.10.031.70.501.080.071.471.4
Brandon Duhaime
F
1143.50.021.00.210.800.080.080.0
Teddy Blueger
F
1061.10.030.30.210.490.083.383.3
Bo Groulx
F
872.7–66.10.160.080.0100.0100.0