Paper

Deserved to win

TBL 24%76% VGK

TBL 2.60 xG on 38 attempts, VGK 4.41 xG on 49, empty nets left out. How it works →

4%TBL 3+
5%TBL 2
9%TBL 1
13%Tied
16%VGK 1
16%VGK 2
38%VGK 3+
Replayed: final margins. Dark bar = actual result.

Scoring

Every goal, all situations, with the score after it (away–home).

  1. Period 1

    1. 4:11TBLBrandon Hagel (1)PPCharle-Edouard D'Astous, Nikita Kucherov1–0
    2. 13:16VGKIvan Barbashev (1)Mitch Marner1–1
    3. 14:04TBLJohn Carlson (1)Unassisted2–1
    4. 18:30VGKMark Stone (1)SHBraeden Bowman2–2
  2. Period 2

    1. 6:44TBLAnthony Cirelli (1)Nikita Kucherov3–2
    2. 10:09TBLAnthony Cirelli (2)Unassisted4–2
    3. 17:56TBLVictor Hedman (1)Unassisted5–2
  3. Period 3

    1. 5:16TBLNikita Kucherov (1)Unassisted6–2

Goalies

Saves on shots on goal (the NHL's boxscore), all situations; GSAx is expected goals against minus goals against on unblocked attempts while he was in.

Teams

TeamTOICF%GF%xGF%xGFxGASh%Sv%PDO
6047.575.037.12.604.4128.694.1122.7
6052.525.062.94.412.605.971.477.3

Flow

Unblocked attempts, running total · TBL 38, VGK 49

TBLVGK goal

Shots

Braeden Bowman, P3 16:13, wrist, on goal, 0.23 xGBraeden Bowman, P3 16:10, slap, missed, 0.23 xGRasmus Andersson, P1 9:34, tip-in, on goal, 0.20 xGIvan Barbashev, P1 9:36, deflected, missed, 0.18 xGWilliam Karlsson, P2 1:39, wrist, on goal, 0.17 xGWilliam Karlsson, P2 10:30, snap, on goal, 0.17 xGConor Geekie, P3 8:38, slap, on goal, 0.16 xGTomas Hertl, P3 16:11, wrist, on goal, 0.15 xGBrandon Hagel, P2 2:15, snap, on goal, 0.14 xGIvan Barbashev, P1 9:37, wrap-around, on goal, 0.14 xGMitch Marner, P2 0:53, wrist, on goal, 0.14 xGTomas Hertl, P3 1:51, wrist, on goal, 0.14 xGBrandon Hagel, P1 18:14, tip-in, missed, 0.14 xGShea Theodore, P2 2:45, wrist, on goal, 0.14 xGMarc Gatcomb, P2 15:37, wrist, on goal, 0.13 xGBrandon Hagel, P1 4:04, tip-in, missed, 0.13 xGMitch Marner, P1 13:15, backhand, on goal, 0.12 xGTomas Hertl, P2 14:26, tip-in, on goal, 0.12 xGBrett Howden, P3 0:55, deflected, missed, 0.12 xGMarc Gatcomb, P2 15:38, wrist, missed, 0.12 xGTrevor Connelly, P3 18:36, snap, missed, 0.11 xGTomas Hertl, P2 4:25, backhand, on goal, 0.11 xGMark Stone, P2 12:45, tip-in, on goal, 0.10 xGZemgus Girgensons, P3 6:53, backhand, on goal, 0.10 xGBrayden Point, P2 1:30, wrist, missed, 0.10 xGAnthony Cirelli, P1 6:42, wrist, missed, 0.10 xGRyan McDonagh, P3 11:03, wrist, missed, 0.09 xGBrayden Point, P2 7:04, tip-in, on goal, 0.09 xGTomas Hertl, P1 1:55, wrist, on goal, 0.09 xGBrandon Hagel, P1 4:30, wrist, missed, 0.08 xGMitch Marner, P2 10:53, snap, on goal, 0.08 xGTrevor Connelly, P3 13:44, snap, on goal, 0.08 xGJake Guentzel, P2 7:43, tip-in, missed, 0.08 xGJack Eichel, P2 13:41, slap, missed, 0.07 xGIlya Mikheyev, P2 13:20, wrist, on goal, 0.07 xGWilliam Karlsson, P1 0:59, wrist, on goal, 0.07 xGMitch Marner, P3 2:35, snap, on goal, 0.06 xGBrandon Hagel, P2 11:41, slap, missed, 0.06 xGBrayden McNabb, P2 19:00, wrist, on goal, 0.06 xGJeremy Lauzon, P1 2:04, snap, on goal, 0.06 xGMitch Marner, P1 5:31, slap, on goal, 0.06 xGWilliam Karlsson, P3 3:27, snap, missed, 0.06 xGJeffrey Viel, P2 4:16, wrist, missed, 0.05 xGBrett Howden, P2 3:01, wrist, missed, 0.05 xGJake Guentzel, P1 17:02, tip-in, missed, 0.04 xGJohn Carlson, P3 16:50, slap, on goal, 0.04 xGPontus Holmberg, P1 3:19, tip-in, missed, 0.03 xGVictor Hedman, P1 4:46, wrist, missed, 0.01 xGBrandon Hagel, P1 4:53, tip-in, on goal, 0.03 xGNoah Hanifin, P1 5:24, slap, on goal, 0.03 xGZemgus Girgensons, P1 6:27, backhand, on goal, 0.01 xGJohn Carlson, P1 6:46, wrist, on goal, 0.02 xGIlya Mikheyev, P1 8:31, backhand, on goal, 0.02 xGJohn Carlson, P1 14:02, wrist, on goal, 0.04 xGRasmus Andersson, P1 16:19, slap, missed, 0.01 xGShea Theodore, P1 19:52, wrist, on goal, 0.01 xGShea Theodore, P2 1:03, wrist, on goal, 0.02 xGMitch Marner, P2 3:54, wrist, missed, 0.02 xGRaphael Lavoie, P2 5:10, wrist, on goal, 0.03 xGZemgus Girgensons, P2 5:55, tip-in, missed, 0.03 xGBrandon Hagel, P2 6:34, slap, missed, 0.03 xGBrett Howden, P2 8:07, backhand, on goal, 0.00 xGShea Theodore, P2 8:30, slap, missed, 0.03 xGDylan Coghlan, P2 9:39, wrist, on goal, 0.01 xGJ.J. Moser, P2 12:14, wrist, on goal, 0.01 xGErik Cernak, P2 14:48, slap, missed, 0.01 xGJeremy Lauzon, P2 15:03, wrist, on goal, 0.01 xGBrayden McNabb, P2 15:49, slap, missed, 0.03 xGMark Stone, P2 19:30, wrist, missed, 0.04 xGVictor Hedman, P3 0:31, wrist, on goal, 0.02 xGJeremy Lauzon, P3 3:46, slap, missed, 0.03 xGNikita Kucherov, P3 6:31, slap, missed, 0.02 xGPontus Holmberg, P3 9:04, wrist, on goal, 0.03 xGBrayden McNabb, P3 9:28, wrist, on goal, 0.01 xGRasmus Andersson, P3 10:08, wrist, missed, 0.01 xGDylan Coghlan, P3 12:17, wrist, on goal, 0.01 xGNikita Kucherov, P3 12:55, slap, on goal, 0.01 xGIlya Mikheyev, P3 15:09, wrist, missed, 0.01 xGBraeden Bowman, P3 18:22, wrist, on goal, 0.03 xGMark Stone, P1 18:30, snap, goal, 0.30 xGIvan Barbashev, P1 13:16, snap, goal, 0.24 xGAnthony Cirelli, P2 6:44, wrist, goal, 0.20 xGNikita Kucherov, P3 5:16, snap, goal, 0.19 xGAnthony Cirelli, P2 10:09, snap, goal, 0.14 xGBrandon Hagel, P1 4:11, tip-in, goal, 0.13 xGJohn Carlson, P1 14:04, wrist, goal, 0.12 xGVictor Hedman, P2 17:56, wrist, goal, 0.01 xG
End
TBL ← 6 G · 21 SOG · 38 unblocked · 2.60 xG goal on goal miss49 unblocked · 34 SOG · 2 G · 4.40 xG → VGK
Area = xG:0.050.200.50smallest ≤ 0.04

Tampa Bay Lightning skaters

PlayerTOICF%GF%xGF%xGFxGASh%Sv%PDO
2145.9–21.00.421.580.0100.0100.0
1958.3100.061.91.370.8437.5100.0137.5
1848.6100.048.81.261.3250.0100.0150.0
1859.5100.059.51.380.9436.4100.0136.4
1851.4100.042.40.881.1933.3100.0133.3
1837.5–15.60.301.600.0100.0100.0
1840.0–19.40.401.670.0100.0100.0
1734.4–15.40.281.550.0100.0100.0
1743.2100.041.90.911.2633.3100.0133.3
1760.7100.057.40.790.5822.2100.0122.2
1757.980.048.01.211.3144.490.0134.4
1553.150.035.90.601.0740.081.8121.8
1548.466.745.70.740.8728.687.5116.1
1546.20.037.40.380.640.080.080.0
1445.20.019.60.381.550.081.881.8
1338.9–40.20.190.280.0100.0100.0
1343.333.334.90.711.3233.375.0108.3
1145.566.732.40.591.2450.088.9138.9

Vegas Golden Knights skaters

PlayerTOICF%GF%xGF%xGFxGASh%Sv%PDO
2159.60.070.82.541.050.075.075.0
2050.050.056.71.180.9110.085.795.7
1940.525.056.11.291.0112.562.575.0
1948.450.045.90.680.8012.575.087.5
1841.950.051.70.920.8614.385.7100.0
1842.440.059.91.000.6733.357.190.5
1855.30.067.41.890.910.075.075.0
1757.525.069.81.680.735.970.075.9
1764.7–81.71.630.370.0100.0100.0
1666.7–83.61.610.320.0100.0100.0
1657.150.071.81.560.6111.166.777.8
1648.60.059.11.451.000.060.060.0
1655.60.040.70.410.590.066.766.7
1544.40.048.50.600.640.066.766.7
1352.40.042.90.340.460.075.075.0
1252.20.040.20.520.770.050.050.0
1275.050.086.31.760.2812.566.779.2
1236.4–42.80.300.400.0100.0100.0